🔥 Active Trades ⓘ
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📈 P&L Timeline
🎯 Portfolio ROI
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Win Rate
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Best ROI
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Avg Edge
📊 Plays vs ROI
📋 Market Depth
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📈 Activity Feed
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📋 Positions
All
🏀 March Madness
🌡️ Weather
₿ Crypto
📊 Econ
🗳️ Politics
✅ Won
❌ Lost
⏳ Pending
🛌 Resting
| Team | Type | Niche | Prob | Entry | Now | Trend | Qty | Cost | Value | P&L | ROI | Max | Spd | Depth | ||
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📖 Master Guide — Kalshi Terminal
💰 Key Concepts
Implied Probability
The market's estimate of an event happening, based on the current price. A 75¢ contract = 75% chance.
The market's estimate of an event happening, based on the current price. A 75¢ contract = 75% chance.
Edge
The difference between what YOU think the probability is vs. what the MARKET thinks. Positive edge = you found a bargain.
The difference between what YOU think the probability is vs. what the MARKET thinks. Positive edge = you found a bargain.
EV (Expected Value)
How much you expect to make on average per trade. Positive EV = profitable over time. It's like the house edge, but for you.
How much you expect to make on average per trade. Positive EV = profitable over time. It's like the house edge, but for you.
Kelly Criterion
A math formula that tells you the optimal bet size based on your edge. We use ¼ Kelly (conservative) to protect your bankroll.
A math formula that tells you the optimal bet size based on your edge. We use ¼ Kelly (conservative) to protect your bankroll.
Annualized ROI
Your return stretched out to a full year. A 2% gain on a 1-day trade = ~730% annualized. Helps compare short vs long trades.
Your return stretched out to a full year. A 2% gain on a 1-day trade = ~730% annualized. Helps compare short vs long trades.
Spread
The gap between the best buy price and best sell price. Tighter = more liquid = easier to trade. 1¢ spread is excellent.
The gap between the best buy price and best sell price. Tighter = more liquid = easier to trade. 1¢ spread is excellent.
📊 Dashboard Sections
Command Center
Your home base. Shows balance, P&L, active trades, win rate, and everything at a glance.
Your home base. Shows balance, P&L, active trades, win rate, and everything at a glance.
Active Trades
Shows every open position with a HOLD/WATCH/SELL recommendation based on current price movement and edge analysis.
Shows every open position with a HOLD/WATCH/SELL recommendation based on current price movement and edge analysis.
Top Picks
Auto-generated trade ideas ranked by confidence. Tier 1 = sure-fire, Tier 2 = smart plays, Tier 3 = high-risk high-reward shots.
Auto-generated trade ideas ranked by confidence. Tier 1 = sure-fire, Tier 2 = smart plays, Tier 3 = high-risk high-reward shots.
Edge Monitor (L2)
Advanced real-time tracking. Watches for smart money moves, arbitrage, and unusual activity across 17+ markets.
Advanced real-time tracking. Watches for smart money moves, arbitrage, and unusual activity across 17+ markets.
Quant Engine
Runs mathematical models (oracles) to calculate true probabilities from real data sources like weather stations, Fed data, and sports odds.
Runs mathematical models (oracles) to calculate true probabilities from real data sources like weather stations, Fed data, and sports odds.
Market Scanner
Scans Kalshi's entire market for opportunities by fetching live events and filtering by volume and spread.
Scans Kalshi's entire market for opportunities by fetching live events and filtering by volume and spread.
🧠 Signal Types
Steam Move
Price jumped 5%+ in under 5 minutes. Usually means a big player ("whale") just entered. Like seeing a whale making waves — follow the ripple.
Price jumped 5%+ in under 5 minutes. Usually means a big player ("whale") just entered. Like seeing a whale making waves — follow the ripple.
Reverse Line Movement
Price goes one way but volume goes the other. Smart money is betting against the crowd. Follow the money, not the price.
Price goes one way but volume goes the other. Smart money is betting against the crowd. Follow the money, not the price.
Spread Compression
The buy/sell gap is shrinking fast. More people are trading = something is about to happen. Get ready.
The buy/sell gap is shrinking fast. More people are trading = something is about to happen. Get ready.
Threshold Inversion
A higher target is priced MORE likely than a lower one (e.g., BTC >$75K costs more than BTC >$70K). Mathematically impossible = free money.
A higher target is priced MORE likely than a lower one (e.g., BTC >$75K costs more than BTC >$70K). Mathematically impossible = free money.
AG Certified 💎🧠
Ensemble confidence score above 70/100. Means the oracle, line movement, catalyst timing, and edge ALL agree. Highest conviction picks.
Ensemble confidence score above 70/100. Means the oracle, line movement, catalyst timing, and edge ALL agree. Highest conviction picks.
Ensemble Score
0-100 confidence rating combining 4 signals: oracle accuracy (40pts), line movement (25pts), catalyst timing (20pts), and edge size (15pts).
0-100 confidence rating combining 4 signals: oracle accuracy (40pts), line movement (25pts), catalyst timing (20pts), and edge size (15pts).
🏷️ Tiers & Categories
Tier 1 — Sure Fire
90%+ model confidence, high oracle agreement, multiple signals confirming. Think of it as a near-guaranteed win.
90%+ model confidence, high oracle agreement, multiple signals confirming. Think of it as a near-guaranteed win.
Tier 2 — Smart Play
70-89% confidence. Solid edge backed by data, but some uncertainty. Standard good trades.
70-89% confidence. Solid edge backed by data, but some uncertainty. Standard good trades.
Tier 3 — High Reward
Below 70% but massive payout potential. These are calculated risks — small bet, big potential return.
Below 70% but massive payout potential. These are calculated risks — small bet, big potential return.
Safe Chalk 🟢
Heavy favorites. High probability of winning but smaller payout. The safe bet.
Heavy favorites. High probability of winning but smaller payout. The safe bet.
Smart Mid 🔵
Moderate favorites with better payout ratio. The sweet spot between safety and reward.
Moderate favorites with better payout ratio. The sweet spot between safety and reward.
Upset Special 🟣
Underdogs that our models say are underpriced. High risk, high reward plays.
Underdogs that our models say are underpriced. High risk, high reward plays.
⚠️ Risk Concepts
Position Sizing
Never bet more than ¼ Kelly suggests. This protects you from ruin even during losing streaks.
Never bet more than ¼ Kelly suggests. This protects you from ruin even during losing streaks.
Correlation Risk
Betting on multiple related things (3 NBA finals teams) means if one loses, they ALL lose. The engine now prevents this.
Betting on multiple related things (3 NBA finals teams) means if one loses, they ALL lose. The engine now prevents this.
Resolution Source
The EXACT data that determines if you win. Weather uses NWS airport stations. CPI uses BLS official release. Know what settles your bet.
The EXACT data that determines if you win. Weather uses NWS airport stations. CPI uses BLS official release. Know what settles your bet.
Limit Orders
Instead of buying at market price, you set YOUR price. If someone accepts, you get a better deal. Shows as 'Resting' in the dashboard.
Instead of buying at market price, you set YOUR price. If someone accepts, you get a better deal. Shows as 'Resting' in the dashboard.
📈 Portfolio Value Over Time
💰 Cumulative P&L
🏆 Performance Breakdown
🧠 Antigravity Quant Engine
Single Source of Truth • Auto-synced from dashboard_state.json
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⚡ Alpha Scan Results ⓘ
Live targets
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🎯 Active Evaluation ⓘ
Current target
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📐 Kelly Criterion Sizing ⓘ
Fractional Kelly (1/4 & 1/8)
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📊 Category Breakdown ⓘ
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🧠 Antigravity Market Scanner
Markets Scanned
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Gold Mine Targets
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Best EV
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Last Scan
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💎 Gold Mine Opportunities
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🎯 Antigravity Top Picks
Total Picks ⓘ
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Kelly Allocation ⓘ
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Best Edge ⓘ
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Generated ⓘ
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📡 Edge Monitor — Layer 2
Tickers Tracked ⓘ
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Signals ⓘ
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Arbitrage ⓘ
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Last Poll ⓘ
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🔔 Active Alerts ⓘ
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📡 Market Pulse — Live Orderbook ⓘ
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📊 Line Movement Signals ⓘ
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💰 Arbitrage Scanner ⓘ
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📈 Backtest Results ⓘ
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